Mapping and Analyses of the Current and Future (2020-2030) Heating/Cooling Fuel Deployment (Fossil Fuels/Renewables) in Europe
The energy balances of statistical offices in many countries and Eurostat show an incomplete picture of demand for heating and cooling. The data are partly incomplete (for example, missing sector data or in the area of individual energy sources such as non-commercial biomass) or simply not available (such as in the area of utilisation applications).
However, the heating and cooling sector accounts for a large proportion of end energy demand in Europe and is therefore a key factor in achieving energy policy goals (reducing the impact of climate change, and securing energy supply). Increasing energy efficiency and the share of renewable energy in heating and cooling, and reducing specific applications can significantly reduce energy demand, greenhouse gas emissions and import dependency on fossil fuels.
Against this background and in line with the needs of the EU Commission, we pursued the following objectives with our study:
- Development of a detailed, consistent and complete energy balance for the heating and cooling sector in all European countries (quantity, type and quality of energy materials used for the different applications).
- Overview of the conversion technologies currently used in Europe with a view to the technical-economic parameters.
- Assessment of future development paths for the distribution of renewable energy sources by 2020 and 2030 based on scenario analyses.
- Evaluation of the economic influences of rapidly developing renewable energies.
- Identification of the main barriers and bottlenecks slowing renewable energy growth and derivation of policy recommendations.
The project was completed in autumn 2016 and the results were published by the European Commission.
TEP Energy has made substantial contributions to the Executive Summary; work package 1 end energy demand 2012, work package 2 technology analysis 2012 and others. TEP updated the database of the Europe-wide energy demand model FORECAST and carried out various scenario calculations with the model.
Project infos
Project duration2015 bis 2016
Contacts at TEP EnergyUlrich Reiter, Martin Jakob
Contracting partyEU Commission (Service service Contract contract ENER/C2/2014-641)
Project partnersFraunhofer ISI (lead), TEP Energy, IREES, Armines and Fraunhofer ISE
SummaryExecutive Summary (PDF)
Report on work package 1End Energy Demand 2012 (PDF)
Report on work package 2Technology Analysis 2012 (PDF)
Report on work package 3 & 4Scenario and economic analysis 2012 (PDF)
Report on work Package 5Policy Recommendations 2012 (PDF)
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