Ex-Post Analysis of Energy Demand in the Swiss Service Sector

Together with Prognos and Infras, we regularly carry out an ex-post analysis of energy demand in the Swiss service sector on behalf of the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE).

Energy consumption by use

The ex-post analysis examines the purposes for which domestic end energy was consumed between 2000 and 2023 and how energy consumption in the private household sector developed with changed determining factors. We ascertain the various uses with the help of a bottom-up model. This enables us to record specific consumption components and their interaction individually.

Energy consumption by determining factor

The determining factors for the measurement of end energy consumption are constantly changing. The following determining factors are taken into account: the growth of the average resident population, energy reference area and gross domestic product, the development of energy prices and climatic warming over the period 2000 to 2023. The differently changing sectors are compared with each other.

As a continuation of this ex-post analysis, Prognos, Infras and TEP Energy examined the uses of domestic energy for the years 2000 – 2022 in the 2022 ex-post analysis, as well as for the years 2000 - 2023 in the 2023 ex-post analysis.

Project infos

  • Project durationAnnual from 2019

  • Contacts at TEP EnergyMartin Jakob, Giacomo Catenazzi

  • Contracting party SFOE

  • Project partnersPrognos (lead), TEP Energy, Infras

  • LinksEnergy statistics (SFOE)

  • Final report by factor 2021PDF (DE)

  • Final report by use 2021PDF

  • Final report by factor 2022PDF

  • Final report by use 2022PDF

  • Final report by factor 2023PDF

  • Final report by use 2023PDF

  • Method Report 2024PDF

Reference projects

Energy renovation rates in the building sector

Various federal and cantonal energy and climate policy measures are aimed at significantly increasing the energy renovation rate. Based on this comprehensive survey, the report shows how the energy renovation rate has developed in recent years and how high it currently is.

Net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in the building sector | TEP Energy

Together with partners, TEP Energy is developing methodological principles (F0) based on the WLCNN method, examining the achievability of net-zero targets (F1) using technical and economic scenarios and developing implementation strategies (F2, F3) with technical and political concepts. In addition, existing standards are analysed in order to harmonize regulations and ensure comparability (F4).

Solar strategy Wädenswil

TEP Energy is conducting a solar strategy and potential study to accelerate the expansion of solar energy in the city of Wädenswil.

Low-temperature district heating networks. The basis for modernizing the heat sector.

Renewable energies and waste heat sources are to replace the coal and natural gas sources that have dominated Polish district heating networks up to now. 

First and foremost, this requires a reduction of the system temperature. The study shows the technical, regulatory and organisational measures required to achieve this
and determines the overall potential for decarbonising district heating in Poland.

Energy Policy Simulator

TEP Energy is supporting the San Francisco based think tank Energy Innovation in the expansion of its Energy Policy Simulator (EPS).

SURE - SUstainable and REsilient energy for Switzerland

Sweet - SURE analyses the impact of disruptive events on the Swiss energy system. TEP Energy is working on energy demand topics such as the development of demand for energy sources in Switzerland, the impact of shocks on the demand load and the potential use of large heat pumps.

Future of Gas Study

TEP analysed the energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of buildings of residential and service sector in EU27 countries to model different pathways of fossil fuel substitution.

MEDIUS

MEDIUS bridges the gap between green finance and green projects to decarbonize buildings at scale.

Country-specific Market Reports for Buildings

Building Market Briefs (BMB) is a Climate KIC initiative within the flagship Building Technologies Accelerator (BTA) that aims to gather and promote knowledge about the buildings' and construction sector to promote low carbon investment and scaling.

Heating Initiative Switzerland

On behalf of the Swiss Heating Initiative (WIS), the decarbonization of the heating sector will be examined by 2050. Spatial potential analyzes and the Swiss building stock model (GPM) are used.

CoolCity

Assessment of the potential for lake water use for heating and cooling in the city of Zurich

Energy-Saving Contracting

Increasing energy efficiency is one of the central pillars of Swiss energy policy and energy-saving contracting contributes to this goal.